Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.145375 0.168717 0.194639 0.225570 0.261488 0.301905 0.350868
2025-04-20 0.112170 0.144213 0.183605 0.235638 0.302657 0.386211 0.498522
2025-04-27 0.094127 0.129849 0.176947 0.243687 0.336039 0.459654 0.638277
2025-05-04 0.081569 0.119167 0.171643 0.250392 0.365937 0.529857 0.781196
2025-05-11 0.070911 0.108849 0.164469 0.252177 0.387563 0.589558 0.915648
2025-05-18 0.061626 0.098856 0.155882 0.249876 0.401688 0.638632 1.039203
2025-05-25 0.053046 0.088561 0.145169 0.242302 0.405789 0.671640 1.140404
2025-06-01 0.048691 0.084379 0.143409 0.248577 0.432544 0.743408 1.313591
2025-06-08 0.044059 0.079044 0.138945 0.249467 0.449871 0.800862 1.468814
2025-06-15 0.040662 0.075375 0.136778 0.253881 0.473558 0.871571 1.655924
2025-06-22 0.036302 0.069391 0.129735 0.248451 0.478382 0.908474 1.784377
2025-06-29 0.032895 0.064746 0.124551 0.245752 0.487775 0.954505 1.935436
2025-07-06 0.030182 0.061176 0.121102 0.246225 0.503868 1.016205 2.127691
2025-07-13 0.028906 0.060310 0.122809 0.257205 0.542466 1.127200 2.436210
2025-07-20 0.027506 0.059004 0.123449 0.266001 0.577515 1.234947 2.751820
2025-07-27 0.026087 0.057474 0.123424 0.273328 0.610234 1.341514 3.078669
2025-08-03 0.024329 0.054990 0.121080 0.275279 0.631302 1.425230 3.364818
2025-08-10 0.022389 0.051865 0.116978 0.272764 0.641905 1.486774 3.607359
2025-08-17 0.020222 0.047964 0.110706 0.264488 0.638080 1.514788 3.773280
2025-08-24 0.019330 0.046937 0.110858 0.271345 0.671047 1.632735 4.175373
2025-08-31 0.018122 0.045010 0.108689 0.272317 0.689731 1.718503 4.507600
2025-09-07 0.017253 0.043810 0.108112 0.277141 0.718588 1.832592 4.928074
2025-09-14 0.015841 0.041084 0.103509 0.271207 0.719136 1.875326 5.164706